China Passenger Car Retail Sales Fall 22% in Sept. 1-20, NEV Penetration Hits 67.9%

Takeaways
  • China’s passenger-car retail sales fell 22% Sept.1–20, reflecting softer demand and dealers’ post-subsidy inventory adjustments as automakers chase share amid intense price and promotional pressure.
  • NEV retail sales hit 596K units Sept.1–20 and 7.27M year-to-date, while NEV wholesales reached 740K in-period and 10.518M year-to-date, with NEV retail penetration at 67.9%.
  • Sharp declines in gasoline vehicle output (330K, down 52% YoY) and hybrid production risks legacy brands’ volumes, while supply, promotional intensity and a high comparison base threaten execution.

Passenger-vehicle retail sales reached 878K units from Sept. 1–20, down 22% year over year but up 8% from the same period in August. For the year to date, passenger-vehicle retail sales totaled 12.593M units, down 21% YoY, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA).

Wholesale sales also remained under pressure. Passenger-vehicle manufacturers sold 1.001M units during the period, down 19% YoY but up 21% from the previous month. Year-to-date wholesale sales reached 18.184M units, down 6% YoY.

Weekly sales volume and growth rates in September 2024, 2025, and 2026
Weekly sales volume and growth rates in September 2024, 2025, and 2026

Market momentum has gradually improved month over month in September, but year-over-year comparisons remain weak.

A higher base from last year has weighed on this year’s figures, as some regions saw a surge in vehicle purchases before subsidy programs expired, releasing concentrated demand ahead of the policy changes.

While the broader market continues to adjust, new energy vehicles (NEVs) remain a key source of support.

NEV passenger-car retail sales reached 596K units from Sept. 1–20, down 9% YoY but up 14% from the same period in August. Year-to-date NEV retail sales totaled 7.27M units, down 12% YoY.

The wholesale market showed stronger momentum. NEV passenger-car wholesale sales reached 740K units during the same period, up 8% YoY and 25% from the previous month. Year-to-date wholesale sales totaled 10.518M units, up 9% YoY.

As NEVs continue to expand their market share, penetration rates remain elevated. From Sept. 1–20, NEVs accounted for 67.9% of passenger-car retail sales and 73.9% of manufacturer wholesale sales.

Weekly wholesales volume and growth rates in September 2024, 2025, and 2026
Weekly wholesales volume and growth rates in September 2024, 2025, and 2026

Meanwhile, conventional gasoline-powered vehicles continued to face mounting pressure.

Production of conventional gasoline-powered light vehicles totaled 330K units during the first three weeks of September, down 52% YoY. Output of hybrid and plug-in hybrid models reached 265K units, down 23%.

The latest market trend shows that China’s auto market growth is increasingly driven by NEVs. Demand for traditional internal-combustion vehicles continues to shrink, while NEVs are shifting from a niche growth segment into a decisive force reshaping the overall market structure.

The CPCA expects the September market to benefit from the traditional peak-sales season, local consumption stimulus policies, automaker promotions and the continued ramp-up of recently launched models.

However, the high comparison base created by last year’s subsidy phase-out period means year-over-year recovery is likely to remain limited.


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